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The Decision Stack: How Agents Actually Buy

When an agent makes a purchase, it doesn't just search and buy. It moves through a sophisticated sequence I call the Decision Stack. Understanding this is essential for anyone who wants their products to get purchased.

The Five Stages

Stage 1: Intent Interpretation

The agent must understand what the user actually needs. "I need running shoes" communicates almost nothing specific. What kind of running? Road or trail? What's the budget? Any brand preferences?

Modern agents infer this from your data: purchase history (you've bought Brooks three times), fitness apps (you run 15-20 miles weekly on pavement), calendar context (half-marathon in 8 weeks), stated preferences ("I hate narrow shoes").

Your action: Make sure your product attributes match how users describe their needs. If people search for "overpronation" your structured data needs that term—not just "great support."

Stage 2: Research

The agent identifies options that might fulfill the interpreted need. This happens across multiple data sources simultaneously: product databases, merchant inventory, review aggregations, expert assessments, price history.

Your action: Exist in the databases agents query. Schema.org markup is the minimum. APIs for real-time inventory are increasingly essential.

Stage 3: Evaluation

The agent ranks options against competing priorities. One shoe might be the best performer but exceeds budget. Another might be best value but has durability concerns.

A sophisticated agent weighs risk tolerance (has user bought this brand before?), familiarity value (is there certainty with a known option?), and timing (does delivery work for their schedule?).

Your action: Reduce uncertainty. Complete data, consistent information across sources, strong reviews. Every gap in your product data is friction in the agent's evaluation.

Stage 4: Transaction

The agent secures the item and processes payment. This requires authorization (agentic tokens), payment processing (within pre-approved limits), deal optimization (coupon codes, cash-back), and confirmation handling.

Your action: Support agent-compatible checkout. APIs, authentication, real-time inventory confirmation.

Stage 5: Fulfillment

The purchase isn't complete when the transaction processes. The agent monitors delivery, can initiate returns if needed, and follows up on satisfaction.

Your action: Deliver what you promised. An agent that recommends products users return is a bad agent—creating pressure for accuracy that benefits honest brands.

How Products Win

To be selected, a product must pass through each stage:

- Intent: Category must match the need - Research: Product must be discoverable in agent-queried databases - Evaluation: Must score well on criteria for this specific user - Transaction: Merchant must support seamless agent purchasing - Fulfillment: Product must actually satisfy, or gets down-weighted next time

Traditional e-commerce rewarded visibility. Agent commerce rewards fitness—being the right product for the specific user's interpreted needs.

A product with massive advertising but mediocre reviews will struggle. A product with no advertising but excellent quality might thrive—because the agent's research surfaces it regardless of marketing spend.

The products that master the Decision Stack will win. Which stage is your weakest?

Weekly on agentic commerce

What AI agents are doing to shopping, and what it means for brands. Short, opinionated, useful.